nussenbaum_2023_novelty

bandit psych-201

One experiment (exp0, N = 122) with participants aged 8–27. In each of 10 blocks (~15 trials each), a creature hid a coin under one of two presented stimuli and participants chose between the two; reward probabilities were re-randomized per block and the design decoupled novelty (how many times a stimulus had been seen) from uncertainty (the spread of the belief about reward). Trial-level data include the binary choice, RT, reward outcome, per-block reward probabilities, and cumulative selection/rejection/win/loss/exposure histories per stimulus, plus a surprise memory test after the task. Participants also completed WASI IQ subtests. The research question was how age moderates novelty-seeking vs. uncertainty-aversion as drivers of exploration, tested with computational reinforcement-learning models.

Responses
19,415
1,906 held out
CORE effects
–
no effects simulated
CORE test NLL (avg)
0.605
rank 1 of 7 models
Best model
CORE
test NLL (avg) 0.605

Likelihood of human responses

modelPNLLtest NLL (avg)test responses train NLL (avg)train responses
CORE best1,153.70.60531,9060.616417,509
CORE (no prediction errors)1,164.40.61091,9060.610817,509
CORE (no phonemes)1,200.50.62981,9060.531417,509
CORE (no forgetting)1,441.30.75621,9060.739417,509
CORE (no hierarchy)1,486.90.78011,9060.773417,509
Transformer1,451.70.76171,9060.736317,509
Centaur1,288.10.67581,906––

Experiments

exptask classparticipantsresponsesconditionssimulatedeffects
exp0NoveltyExploration12219,4151no–

Behavioral effects

No behavioral effects were simulated for this study.

Transcript

An enchanted kingdom needs gold coins to build a bridge to unite two sides. Various creatures have hidden coins in hiding spots around different territories. On each trial you search one of two hiding spots for a coin. Each creature has its own favorite hiding spots, which stay stable throughout its block, but a creature does not always hide its coin in its favorite spot. Every new creature has different favorite spots, so the odds reset at each new block.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see mossRock and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see rockPile and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see rockPile and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see rockPile and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see corn and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see corn and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see corn and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see corn and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see corn and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and mossRock (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see mossRock and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see rockPile and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and rockPile (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and treeDoor (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see leaves and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see corn and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see leaves and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see corn and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see corn and pumpkinCluster (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see pumpkinCluster and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see cabin and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see cabin and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see cabin and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see cabin and corn (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see watermelon and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see birdNest and campfire (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see birdNest and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see campfire and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see birdNest and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see watermelon and birdNest (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see leaves and cabin (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see cabin and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see cabin and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and cabin (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see cabin and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see leaves and cabin (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and cabin (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see cabin and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see cabin and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see leaves and appleTree (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see cabin and appleTree (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see appleTree and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see appleTree and cabin (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see leaves and appleTree (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see cabin and appleTree (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.

Block: a new creature hides coins in a new territory. Its favorite hiding spots are unknown to you.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see watermelon and vines (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You find a coin.
You see vines and watermelon (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press B. You do not find a coin.
You see vines and leaves (A = the first spot, B = the second). You press A. You do not find a coin.

Surprise memory test: each of the ten creatures appears one at a time, and you must recall which of its hiding spots was its favorite. Five spots are shown at once, labeled A, B, C, D and E in the order they appear. Press the letter of the spot you think was the creature's favorite.
Creature from territory 5: five hiding spots shown, A = mossRock, B = pumpkinCluster, C = cherryBlossom, D = campfire, E = treeDoor. You press B.
Creature from territory 8: five hiding spots shown, A = watermelon, B = campfire, C = birdNest, D = cattail, E = treeDoor. You press A.
Creature from territory 1: five hiding spots shown, A = mossRock, B = mushroom, C = leaves, D = rockPile, E = campfire. You press D.
Creature from territory 10: five hiding spots shown, A = watermelon, B = leaves, C = vines, D = yellowTree, E = mossRock. You press C.
Creature from territory 7: five hiding spots shown, A = cabin, B = pumpkinCluster, C = birdNest, D = corn, E = windmill. You press C.
Creature from territory 2: five hiding spots shown, A = campfire, B = corn, C = birdNest, D = mossRock, E = fort. You press A.
Creature from territory 3: five hiding spots shown, A = antHill, B = mossRock, C = treeDoor, D = pumpkinCluster, E = campfire. You press B.
Creature from territory 6: five hiding spots shown, A = hay, B = corn, C = leaves, D = campfire, E = birdNest. You press B.
Creature from territory 4: five hiding spots shown, A = cave, B = rockPile, C = birdNest, D = mossRock, E = corn. You press B.
Creature from territory 9: five hiding spots shown, A = well, B = leaves, C = mossRock, D = cabin, E = appleTree. You press D.